Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Markaziy Stadium (Namangan)


	Navbahor Namangan		Kokand 1912

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.61	3.45	5.2
	1.61	3.55	5.64
	1.6	3.54	5.52	Watch
	1.62	3.61	5.7
	1.6	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	3.54 ↓ (3.86)	5.44 ↓ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navbahor Namangan
57.3%

Draw
25.9%

Kokand 1912
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

22.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Kokand 1912 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navbahor Namangan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Navbahor Namangan - Kokand 1912 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Navbahor (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Navbahor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yuldashev S. (G) 33. Karpovich S. 36. Guilherme Guedes 7. Akhmedov A. 99. Higor Gabriel 12. Mirsaidov S. 37. Odilov A. 13. Teidi B. 70. Gulomov A. 17. Jiyanov R. 9. Urinboev Z.	13. Isokov A. (G) 19. Akramov S. 44. Giorgadze A. 5. Yakubov J. 6. Salimov A. 7. Gvazava S. 8. Kosimov B. 9. Khusanov J. 20. Malikdzhonov I. 22. Khasanov M. 11. Beshimov S.
Substitutes
1. Ergashev U. (G) 19. Gofurov M. 71. Iminjonov N. 11. Kholdorkhonov P. 8. Komilov S. 29. Pedro 4. Toirov S. 55. Tozhidinov K. 10. Ubaydullaev S.	18. Abdurakhimov B. 10. Gofurov K. 23. Juraboev B. 15. Khakimov Z. 17. Khayrullaev A. 14. Kholturaev J. 69. Kondratyuk Y. 30. Mukhtorov I. 1. Nartadzhiev R. (G)
Coaches
Lushchan S.	Khaydarov B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Higor Gabriel ⚽, Jiyanov R. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Gulomov A. ⚽, Odilov A. (A),
26', Yakubov J. ↓, Kondratyuk Y. ↑,
31', Khusanov J. 🟨,
45+1', Akhmedov A. 🟨,
45+1', Khasanov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, Jiyanov R. (Pen),
55', Beshimov S. ↓, Kholturaev J. ↑,
65', Odilov A. 🟨,
68', Kholturaev J. (Pen),
72', Gulomov A. ↓, Komilov S. ↑,
74', 🟨,
80', Urinboev Z. ↓, Pedro ↑,
80', Akhmedov A. ↓, Tozhidinov K. ↑,
81', Kondratyuk Y. ↓, Gofurov K. ↑,
82', Akramov S. ↓, Abdurakhimov B. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kokand 1912 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Navbahor is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Navbahor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Navbahor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek League
18.05.25	Bunyodkor - Navbahor Namangan	2:3 ✺
11.05.25	Navbahor Namangan - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Qizilqum - Navbahor Namangan	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Navbahor Namangan - Buxoro	3:0 ✺
21.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL
- Kokand 1912
Uzbek League
17.05.25	Kokand 1912 - Nasaf Qarshi	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Kokand 1912 - AGMK	1:3 ✺
02.05.25	Bunyodkor - Kokand 1912	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Kokand 1912 - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Qizilqum - Kokand 1912	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
16.08.22	Kokand 1912 - Navbahor Namangan	1:1
17.03.22	Navbahor Namangan - Kokand 1912	2:0
01.08.21	Kokand 1912 - Navbahor Namangan	1:2
03.12.20	Kokand 1912 - Navbahor Namangan	1:1
28.08.20	Navbahor Namangan - Kokand 1912	0:1
01.12.19	Kokand 1912 - Navbahor Namangan	1:1
10.03.19	Navbahor Namangan - Kokand 1912	1:1

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