Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi (Navoiy)


	Qizilqum		Navbahor Namangan

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.7
	2.39	3.15	2.75
	2.35	3.25	2.74
	2.41	3.19	2.79	Watch
	2.46	3.2	2.85
	2.39	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.41)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	2.76 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qizilqum
38.1%

Draw
29%

Navbahor Namangan
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

29.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Qizilqum have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Navbahor Namangan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navbahor Namangan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Qizilqum - Navbahor Namangan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kuvvatov S. (G) 88. Mijic D. 15. Kumburovic N. 5. Komilov D. 4. Vakhobov I. 7. Anvarov D. 10. Paparyga R. 11. Jigauri J. (C) 18. Bekmuradov F. 70. Masovic A. 99. Lobjanidze E.	1. Ergashev U. (G) 12. Mirsaidov S. 99. Higor Gabriel 13. Teidi B. 36. Guilherme Guedes 33. Karpovich S. 17. Jiyanov R. 70. Gulomov A. (C) 8. Komilov S. 37. Odilov A. 9. Urinboev Z.
Substitutes
9. Abdualimov K. 71. Bakhshilloev A. 77. Jumankuziev F. 19. Kenzhaev I. 33. Rahmatov S. 79. Rakhmatilloev D. 30. Rakhmatov F. (G) 23. Shukurillaev S. 6. Usmonov M.	7. Akhmedov A. 6. Gulomzhonov S. 22. Joraboev A. 11. Kholdorkhonov P. 4. Toirov S. 55. Tozhidinov K. 23. Tursunov J. 16. Yuldashev S. (G)
Coaches
Lazarevic N.	Lushchan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Gulomov A. ⚽, Odilov A. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Vakhobov I. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Odilov A. ⚽, Urinboev Z. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 2, Komilov D. ⚽, Jigauri J. (A),
77', Kumburovic N. 🟨,
77', Paparyga R. ↓, Jumankuziev F. ↑,
82', Anvarov D. ↓, Rakhmatilloev D. ↑,
84', Odilov A. ↓, Gulomzhonov S. ↑,
84', Komilov S. ↓, Kholdorkhonov P. ↑,
90+11', 3 - 2, Lobjanidze E. (Pen),
90+15', Jigauri J. ↓, Shukurillaev S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 0.

Qizilqum is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Navbahor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Qizilqum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Qizilqum won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qizilqum PFK
Uzbek League
27.04.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum	4:0 ✺
18.04.25	Qizilqum - Kokand 1912	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bunyodkor - Qizilqum	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Qizilqum - AGMK	1:3 ✺
14.03.25	Buxoro - Qizilqum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL
- Navbahor Namangan
Uzbek League
27.04.25	Navbahor Namangan - Buxoro	3:0 ✺
21.04.25	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Navbahor Namangan - Shurtan Guzar	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Neftchi Fargona - Navbahor Namangan	3:2 ✺
28.03.25	Navbahor Namangan - Andijan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
22.11.24	Qizilqum - Navbahor Namangan	1:5
20.06.24	Navbahor Namangan - Qizilqum	0:0
30.07.23	Qizilqum - Navbahor Namangan	1:2
04.03.23	Navbahor Namangan - Qizilqum	3:0
16.09.22	Navbahor Namangan - Qizilqum	1:0
01.05.22	Qizilqum - Navbahor Namangan	1:2
26.09.21	Navbahor Namangan - Qizilqum	0:0

Qizilqum - Navbahor Namangan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide