Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 9

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Paulo Henrique (Bra)


	Amazonas		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4.33	Watch
	2.05	3	3.6
	1.95	3.1	4.2
	1.97	3.13	4.91
	1.93	3.11	4.88
	1.91	3.1	4.33
	1.94	3.06	4.48	Watch
	1.9	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.91)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	4.37 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
48.3%

Draw
30.2%

Brusque
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Amazonas - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: Amazonas will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcao (G) 2. Patric 3. Ivan Alvarino 4. Diogo Silva 6. Fabiano 5. Jorge Jimenez 8. Diego Torres 10. Rafael Tavares 11. Matheus Serafim 99. Sassa (C) 21. Igor Bolt	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 99. Mateus Pivo 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 4. Wallace 66. Alex Ruan 19. Marcos Serrato 8. Jhemerson 70. Anderson Rosa 10. Dentinho 80. Osman 27. Diego Mathias
Substitutes
25. Bruno Lopes 16. Cauan Barros 1. Edson Mardden (G) 22. Enio 13. Ezequiel 17. Guilherme Xavier 9. Jo 23. Matheusinho 18. Matheus Melo 14. Miranda 20. Para 19. William Barbio	11. Diego Tavares 7. Dionisio 2. Everton Alemao 35. Georgemy (G) 3. Ianson 33. Madison 12. Marcelo Nunes 6. Matheus Salustiano 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 15. Ronei 29. Wellissol
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Luizinho Vieira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Jhemerson 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Igor Bolt ↓, Enio ↑,
46', Anderson Rosa ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
46', Osman ↓, Wellissol ↑,
51', Mateus Pivo ↓, Ronei ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Sassa ⚽, Rafael Tavares (A),
55', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
55', Sassa 🟨,
60', Rafael Tavares ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Wellissol ⚽, Diego Tavares (A),
67', Diego Torres ↓, Matheus Melo ↑,
73', Jhemerson ↓, Everton Alemao ↑,
73', Sassa ↓, Jo ↑,
73', Matheus Serafim ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
74', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Jo ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Amazonas is a favorite.

There will not play in Amazonas: Guilherme Mantuan (Injury)

There will not play in Brusque: Cristovam (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amazonas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Amazonas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
03.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
28.05.24	Amazonas - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Amazonas - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.24	Amazonas - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Ceará - Amazonas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLTL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
01.06.24	Brusque - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Vila Nova - Brusque	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.24	Atlético Goianiense - Brusque	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.24	Santos - Brusque	4:0 ✺
15.05.24	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
22.10.23	Brusque - Amazonas	1:2
15.10.23	Amazonas - Brusque	0:0
03.05.23	Brusque - Amazonas	1:0

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