Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Round 25

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	Nea Salamis		Omonia Aradippou

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	3.65
	1.85	3.71	4.27
	1.8	3.73	4.14	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.9
	1.79	3.58	4.31
	1.86	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.04)	3.5 ↑ (3.33)	3.99 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nea Salamis
50.4%

Draw
26.4%

Omonia Aradippou
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

21.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nea Salamis's performance.

Omonia Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nea Salamis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia Aradippou than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omonia Aradippou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Nea Salamis - Omonia Aradippou Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nea Salamis will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Omonia Aradippou will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nea Salamis: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melissas N. (G) 28. Bahassa Y. 16. Bejarano Da. 18. Carlitos 3. de Lucas L. 22. Durmisi R. 5. Michail A. 45. Plumain A. 2. Sergiou K. 11. Tabekou S. 14. Vellios A.	1. Loria G. (G) 30. Ferrier M. 62. Fomba B. 8. Havelka N. 73. Jorginho 4. Kallis C. 11. Mekkaoui K. 7. Pontikos G. 92. Sana 17. Shikkis A. 33. Theocharous A.
Substitutes
31. Antosch D. (G) 9. Durmishaj F. 10. Fernandez V. 23. Frangos A. 12. Gbelle G. 80. Katsiaris A. 26. Lecjaks J. 30. Mavroudis A. 20. Papageorgiou G. 25. Prokopiou T. 21. Spyridakis D. 4. Tomovic N.	18. Christodoulou G. 23. Dimitriou A. 29. Kattirtzis C. 89. Koutsakos N. 37. Loizou A. 90. Moreira R. 21. Mozino 88. Papacharalampous G. (G) 70. Peixoto C. (G) 35. Polykarpou P.
Coaches
Poursaitidis S.	Martins H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Plumain A. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Jorginho ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Jorginho (Pen),
36', Bejarano Da. 🟨,
38', Bahassa Y. 🟨,
41', Pontikos G. 🟨,
41', 2 - 2, Vellios A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Bejarano Da. ↓, Frangos A. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Kallis C. ⚽,
77', Mekkaoui K. 🟨,
79', Bahassa Y. ↓, Durmishaj F. ↑,
79', Plumain A. ↓, Fernandez V. ↑,
85', Mekkaoui K. ↓, Polykarpou P. ↑,
87', Shikkis A. 🟨,
88', Pontikos G. ↓, Koutsakos N. ↑,
90', Durmishaj F. 🟨,
90+4', Tabekou S. 🟨,
90+5', Ferrier M. 🟨,
90+5', Sana 🟨,
90+7', Ferrier M. ↓, Mozino ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

Nea Salamis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )

Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )

Recent matches Nea Salamis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Omonia Aradippou has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nea Salamis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nea Salamis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nea Salamis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nea Salamis
Cypriot First Division
22.02.25	Omonia 29is Maiou - Nea Salamis	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Nea Salamis - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Nea Salamis	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Nea Salamis - Aris Limassol	2:2 ✺
24.01.25	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLTT
- Omonia Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
23.02.25	Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Omonia - Omonia Aradippou	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Omonia Aradippou - Paphos	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Apollon Limassol - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	APOEL - Omonia Aradippou	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
01.12.24	Omonia Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:0
Cypriot Division 2
17.04.22	Nea Salamis - Omonia Aradippou	2:0
11.12.21	Omonia Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:2
Club Friendly
14.11.19	Omonia Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:3
18.08.14	Nea Salamis - Omonia Aradippou	3:2

Upcoming Matches