Match Info

Date: 14 July 2021, Wednesday


	Neftchi Baku		Dinamo Tbilisi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.9
	1.82	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.9
	1.95	3.44	4.12
	1.88	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.38	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	3.96 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
48.6%

Draw
28%

Dinamo Tbilisi
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Dinamo Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftchi Baku, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	7.9%	7.9%

Neftchi Baku - Dinamo Tbilisi Predictions

Users Predictions: Neftchi Baku will win (85 of 101 users predict this - 84.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 91.28%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Neftchi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dinamo Tbilisi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Neftchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Neftchi have a series of guest games.

Recently Dinamo Tbilisi have a series of home games.

In this match Neftchi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
UEFA Champions League
07.07.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.21	Spartak Moscow - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
24.06.21	Domžale - Neftchi Baku	2:1 ✺
21.06.21	Olimpija Ljubljana - Neftchi Baku	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.05.21	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLTW
- Dinamo Tbilisi
UEFA Champions League
07.07.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
01.07.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dinamo Batumi	1:2 ✺
27.06.21	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
23.06.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:2 ✺
19.06.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.07.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Neftchi Baku	1:2

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