Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Istiqlol Stadium (Fergana)

Referee: Toxtasinov T. (Uzb)


	Neftchi Fargona		Bunyodkor

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.55	3.45	5.3
	1.64	3.6	5.58
	1.70	3.37	5.09	Watch
	1.59	3.79	5.65
	1.6	3.4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	3.52 (3.52)	5.4 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Fargona
57%

Draw
26%

Bunyodkor
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Bunyodkor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bunyodkor than the current prediction. (+1%)

Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 4. Ciger B. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 6. Yuldoshev I. 10. Iskanderov J. 22. Odilov A. 5. Alibaev I. 23. Djokic J. 7. Ismoilov A. 9. Kojo J. 70. Nimely S.	1. Abdujalilov A. (G) 23. Rakhimzhonov A. 15. Bugarin M. 4. Normurodov N. 77. Olimzhonov M. 2. Mali N. 8. Sroler M. 18. Akhmadjonov N. 57. Turakulov A. 9. Ashortia I. 11. Abdukholikov T.
Substitutes
30. Abdubannobov O. 44. Adahamjonov M. 24. Gulyamov G. 32. Marusic Z. 11. Ruziev K. 34. Sayfiev F. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 33. Yoqubjonov S.	30. Abdunabiev S. 21. Abdusalomov N. 17. Karimov O. 28. Krivokapic M. 22. Rakhimov V. (G) 66. Tulkinbekov A. 25. Urata I. 10. Yuldashev R. 5. Zevadinov A.
Coaches
Levchenko V.	Zeytullaev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Ubaydullaev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Sroler M. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Ciger B. ⚽,
73', Akhmadjonov N. ↓, Urata I. ↑,
73', Sroler M. ↓, Abdusalomov N. ↑,
77', Rakhimzhonov A. ↓, Tulkinbekov A. ↑,
77', Olimzhonov M. ↓, Abdunabiev S. ↑,
79', Kojo J. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
85', Abdukholikov T. ↓, Zevadinov A. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Abdunabiev S. ⚽,
88', Abdunabiev S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 3.

Neftchi Fargona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bunyodkor is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
07.07.25	Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona	1:1 ✺
Uzbek Cup
24.06.25	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	0:1 ✺
Uzbek League
20.06.25	Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTLW
- Bunyodkor Tashkent
Uzbek League
05.07.25	Andijan - Bunyodkor	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Bunyodkor - Sogdiana Jizzakh	3:2 ✺
23.06.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Bunyodkor	0:3 ✺
Uzbek Cup
18.06.25	Kokand 1912 - Bunyodkor	1:2 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
14.06.25	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
08.03.25	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	2:2
03.11.24	Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor	2:1
01.06.24	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	0:3
28.10.23	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	2:1
15.05.23	Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor	1:0
08.09.22	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	1:2
25.04.22	Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor	1:3

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