Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Istiqlol Stadium (Fergana)

Referee: Risqullaev A. (Uzb)


	Neftchi Fargona		Buxoro

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.00	9.00
	1.26	4.85	9.00
	1.25	5.66	12.24
	1.3	4.85	8.97	Watch
	1.24	5.45	12
	1.28	5.47	9.70
	1.27	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	5.18 ↑ (4.46)	9.99 ↑ (9.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Fargona
72.9%

Draw
17.8%

Buxoro
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

20.6%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Buxoro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Buxoro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 6. Yuldoshev I. 4. Ciger B. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 2. Pulatov I. 23. Djokic J. 5. Alibaev I. 22. Odilov A. 8. Jovovic V. 7. Ismoilov A. 32. Marusic Z.	12. Khamroev U. (G) 42. Todorov K. 7. Mukhtorov K. (C) 30. Mladjovic B. 97. Jurabekov S. 27. Yuldoshev M. 17. Ruziev J. 6. Khayrullaev R. 78. Rodic V. 11. Mamasidikov T. 22. Joraboev A.
Substitutes
30. Fomin R. 9. Giyosov K. 10. Iskanderov J. 11. Jumaev A. 18. Perica S. 77. Ratinho 27. Sarsenbaev N. 34. Sayfiev F. 45. Turaev A. (G)	1. Abdullaev S. (G) 4. Akhmadjonov N. . Baratov I. 25. Esanov S. 8. Juraev A. 9. Kacharava N. 77. Kayumov A. 5. Kulmatov S. 10. Ubaydullaev S.
Coaches
Ismoilov I.	Khomyakov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Ubaydullaev M. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Mukhtorov K. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Alibaev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Odilov A. ↓, Ratinho ↑,
46', Pulatov I. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
46', Ubaydullaev M. ↓, Iskanderov J. ↑,
49', Djokic J. 🟨,
66', Rodic V. ↓, Baratov I. ↑,
66', Joraboev A. ↓, Ubaydullaev S. ↑,
66', Jovovic V. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
74', Marusic Z. ↓, Perica S. ↑,
78', Mamasidikov T. ↓, Esanov S. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Perica S. ⚽, Sayfiev F. (A),
85', Sayfiev F. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Iskanderov J. ⚽, Djokic J. (A),
90', Jurabekov S. ↓, Akhmadjonov N. ↑,
90+2', Iskanderov J. 🟨,
90+2', Mukhtorov K. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.

Buxoro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the obvious favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	23	16	4	3	52:19	33	52
7	Buxoro	22	10	4	8	32:29	3	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Fargona
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Zenit - Neftchi Fargona	4:1 ✺
Uzbek League
03.05.26	AGMK - Neftchi Fargona	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Neftchi Fargona - Kokand 1912	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Xorazm Urganch - Neftchi Fargona	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Neftchi Fargona - Nasaf Qarshi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWW
- FK Buxoro
Uzbek League
02.05.26	Buxoro - Sogdiana Jizzakh	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	AGMK - Buxoro	3:2 ✺
13.04.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
07.11.25	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	1:1
20.06.25	Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro	1:0
27.09.23	Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro	3:0
21.04.23	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	2:2
19.07.18	Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona	0:0
12.04.18	Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro	0:1
07.09.17	Neftchi Fargona - Buxoro	1:2

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