Match Info

Super League - Round 17

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi (Navoiy)

Referee: Djuraev G. (Uzb)


	Kokand 1912		Neftchi Fargona

	1	X	2
	6.75	4	1.39
	5.7	3.7	1.5
	6.34	3.95	1.55
	12.27	6.79	1.17	Watch
	6.22	3.88	1.54
	3.89	3.43	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↑ (3.66)	4.29 ↑ (3.4)	1.51 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kokand 1912
14%

Draw
22.4%

Neftchi Fargona
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.5%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.1%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kokand 1912 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kokand 1912's form might have worsened.

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kokand 1912, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Neftchi Fargona (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Kokand 1912 (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Neftchi Fargona will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Neftchi Fargona will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Kokand 1912 (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Neftchi Fargona (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nartadzhiev R. (G) 23. Karimov A. 15. Khakimov Z. 5. Yakubov J. 4. Toshtemirov A. 6. Salimov A. 10. Gadoev S. 7. Gvazava S. 20. Malikdzhonov I. 17. Daci K. 78. Khaydarov A.	1. Ergashev B. (G) 6. Yuldoshev I. 4. Ciger B. 20. Gofurov A. 5. Alibaev I. 10. Iskanderov J. 7. Ismoilov A. 23. Djokic J. 22. Odilov A. 70. Nimely S. 9. Kojo J.
Substitutes
18. Abdurakhimov B. 19. Akramov S. 21. Fazliddinov M. 13. Isokov A. (G) 22. Khasanov M. 8. Khusanov J. 69. Kondratyuk Y. 33. Mukhtorov A. 30. Mukhtorov I.	24. Gulyamov G. 8. Jovovic V. 32. Marusic Z. 11. Ruziev K. 34. Sayfiev F. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M. 33. Yoqubjonov S.
Coaches
Khaydarov B.	Levchenko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Odilov A. ⚽,
19', Ismoilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
34', Gvazava S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Khakimov Z. ↓, Akramov S. ↑,
59', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
66', Malikdzhonov I. ↓, Khasanov M. ↑,
66', Khaydarov A. ↓, Khusanov J. ↑,
79', Odilov A. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
79', Kojo J. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
79', Nimely S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Gadoev S. ⚽, Khusanov J. (A),
89', 1 - 2, Djokic J. ⚽, Jovovic V. (A),
90+4', Gadoev S. ↓, Abdurakhimov B. ↑,
90+4', Gvazava S. ↓, Kondratyuk Y. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 1.

Kokand 1912 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neftchi Fargona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.

We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kokand 1912 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kokand 1912
Uzbek League
03.08.25	Andijan - Kokand 1912	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Kokand 1912	2:1 ✺
27.06.25	Kokand 1912 - Dinamo Samarqand	2:3 ✺
22.06.25	Pakhtakor - Kokand 1912	2:0 ✺
Uzbek Cup
18.06.25	Kokand 1912 - Bunyodkor	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
02.08.25	Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Neftchi Fargona - Xorazm Urganch	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Dinamo Samarqand - Neftchi Fargona	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona	1:1 ✺
Uzbek Cup
24.06.25	Neftchi Fargona - Mashal Mubarek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
14.03.25	Neftchi Fargona - Kokand 1912	0:0
02.08.22	Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona	3:3
02.03.22	Neftchi Fargona - Kokand 1912	1:0
24.10.18	Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona	2:0
17.08.18	Neftchi Fargona - Kokand 1912	1:0
Uzbek Cup
30.05.18	Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona	2:1 ET
Uzbek League
10.05.18	Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona	1:1

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