The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kokand 1912 17.8%
Draw 23.2%
Neftchi Fargona 59%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19%
23.9%
57.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.5%
23.3%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kokand 1912 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Davronov R. (G) 19. Akromov S. 15. Khakimov Z. 20. Malikdzhonov I. 5. Yakubov J. 21. Gulyamov G. 10. Gadoev S. 99. Khasanov M. 7. Gvazava S. 22. Tabatadze T. 71. Yulchiev E.
45. Turaev A. (G) 34. Sayfiev F. 21. Ubaydullaev M. 15. Abduganiyev N. 52. Kouao K. 8. Jovovic V. 14. Giyosov K. 11. Jumaev A. 77. Ratinho 22. Odilov A. 32. Marusic Z.
Substitutes
18. Fazliddinov M. 44. Giorgadze A. 8. Hasanov J. 6. Salimov A. 17. Sidikov J. 4. Toshtemirov A. 90. Uktamov A. 46. Xojayev H. (G)
30. Fomin R. 20. Gofurov A. 7. Ismoilov A. 18. Perica S. 2. Pulatov I. 27. Sarsenbaev N. 16. Shokirov I. (G) 71. Toshmirzaev B. 6. Yuldoshev I.
Coaches
Shipilov A.
Ismoilov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Tabatadze T. ⚽, Gadoev S. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Marusic Z. ⚽,
37', Akromov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 2, Abduganiyev N. ⚽,
50', 2 - 2, Akromov S. ⚽,
58', 2 - 3, Marusic Z. ⚽,
59', Abduganiyev N. 🟥,
62', Khakimov Z. ↓, Toshtemirov A. ↑,
62', Tabatadze T. ↓, Hasanov J. ↑,
63', Jumaev A. ↓, Ismoilov A. ↑,
63', Jovovic V. ↓, Gofurov A. ↑,
74', Marusic Z. ↓, Perica S. ↑,
74', Giyosov K. ↓, Yuldoshev I. ↑,
74', Akromov S. ↓, Mahmuxojiyev S. ↑,
82', Khasanov M. ↓, Uktamov A. ↑,
82', Gvazava S. ↓, Fazliddinov M. ↑,
82', Odilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
86', 2 - 4, Kouao K. ⚽, Ismoilov A. (A),
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Kokand 1912 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Neftchi Fargona shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Neftchi Fargona may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Neftchi Fargona is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Kokand 1912 has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:20 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kokand 1912 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Neftchi Fargona
25
18
4
3
59:22
37
58
14
Kokand 1912
25
5
8
12
25:36
-11
23
Last Results with these Odds
Neftchi Fargona - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.14%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
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Davronov R. (G) 
Gvazava S. 
Kouao K. 
Jovovic V. 
Ratinho 
Marusic Z. 
Perica S. 
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