Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday


	Negele Arsi Ketema		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.72	2.92
	2.41	2.79	3.23
	2.74	2.97	2.59	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.9
				Watch
	2.37	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.74)	2.78 ↓ (2.97)	2.97 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Negele Arsi Ketema
36.5%

Draw
32.8%

Sheger Ketema
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

31.2%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Negele Arsi Ketema - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Miessa J. ⚽,
70', 0 - 2, Miessa J. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Bizuneh K. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Sololo R. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
25.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:1 ✺
20.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ethio Electric - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Saint George	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTTL
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
26.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Arba Minch - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Hadiya Hossana	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Saint George - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
23.10.25	Sheger Ketema - Adama City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWT

Negele Arsi Ketema - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide