Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Addis Abeba Stadium (Addis Abeba)


	Ethiopian Medhin		Negele Arsi Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.72	3.35
	2.25	2.76	3.43
	2.21	2.80	3.59	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.41	Watch
	2.28	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.77)	2.77 ↓ (3)	3.44 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopian Medhin
40.6%

Draw
32.9%

Negele Arsi Ketema
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

30.2%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

29.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopian Medhin's form might have worsened.

Negele Arsi Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ethiopian Medhin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Melaku M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Negele Arsi Ketema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ethiopian Medhin has had a series of away games.

Ethiopian Medhin could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
21.11.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Ethiopian Medhin	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Saint George - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
30.10.25	Pyramids - Ethiopian Medhin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTWL
- Negele Arsi Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
20.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ethio Electric - Negele Arsi Ketema	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Negele Arsi Ketema - Saint George	0:1 ✺
23.10.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTLL

Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide