Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Saint George		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.55	3.25
	2.23	2.80	3.25
	2.49	2.49	3.58
	2.41	2.56	3.57	Watch
	2.34	2.80	3.52	Watch
	2.34	2.50	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (5.09)	2.62 ↓ (2.86)	3.43 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint George
38.6%

Draw
34.8%

Sheger Ketema
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.7%

31.5%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint George's performance.

Sheger Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheger Ketema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Abdo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Erbo E. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Daniel N. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Fikru B. ⚽,

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Saint George has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:2 (averaging 0:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Saint George against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sheger Ketema	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
12	St. George	4	0	3	1	5:6	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint George FC
Ethiopian Premier League
22.10.26	Saint George - Adama City	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Saint George - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
26.06.26	Saint George - Fasil Kenema	1:0 ✺
22.06.26	Shire Endaselassie - Saint George	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTWT
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
20.10.26	Ethio Electric - Sheger Ketema	1:0 ✺
16.10.26	Adama City - Sheger Ketema	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Dire Dawa City - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Saint George	1:0
03.11.25	Saint George - Sheger Ketema	0:1

Saint George - Sheger Ketema