Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gyirmóti Stadion (Győr) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karako F. (Hun)


	Neman Grodno		Celje

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.25
	3.05	3.1	2.4
	3.05	3.2	2.38
	3.13	3.1	2.41
	3.06	3.24	2.36	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.81)	3.2 ↑ (3.19)	2.35 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neman Grodno
30.7%

Draw
29.3%

Celje
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.8%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	36%	48%

Neman Grodno - Celje Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Neman will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Celje will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celje: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Rudenok K. (G) 33. Karpovich S. 4. Vasilyev A. 5. Parkhomenko E. 8. Pantya Y. 22. Shukurov A. 47. Kozlov M. 15. Evdokimov O. 88. Savitskiy P. 11. Alykulov G. 17. Zubovich E. (C)	22. Rozman M. (G) 3. Vuklisevic D. 81. Nemanic K. 6. Zec D. 23. Karnicnik Z. 8. Bobicanec L. 19. Zabukovnik M. 13. Vrbanec M. 27. Lamy J. 11. Popovic D. (C) 7. Matko A.
Substitutes
14. Anyukevich A. 12. Belov M. (G) 13. Dayneka A. 37. Krasnov M. 18. Kravtsov M. 46. Legchilin A. 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 71. Suchkov A. 35. Veydyger K. (G) 24. Yakimov A.	9. Bajde G. 77. Bizjak L. 1. Jurhar M. (G) 10. Kouter N. 20. Macak L. 67. Milic N. 34. Speljak K. 88. Svetlin T.
Coaches
Kovalevich I.	Riera A.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Neman is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celje is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Neman could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Celje have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neman won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neman Grodno
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Celje - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
01.08.23	Balzan - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
26.07.23	Neman Grodno - Balzan	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Neman Grodno - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
13.07.23	Vaduz - Neman Grodno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWTW
- NK Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
13.08.23	Celje - Rogaška	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Celje - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
03.08.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Celje	0:2 penalties ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.07.23	Celje - Mura	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Celje - Vitoria Guimarães	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Celje - Neman Grodno	1:0

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