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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 17.2%
Draw 24.4%
Torpedo-BelAZ 58.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
28.2%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
25.8%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Torpedo-BelAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo-BelAZ's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo-BelAZ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanko I. (G) 90. Antilevskiy D. 79. Badoev K. 2. Bozhko E. 33. Gorbachik V. 41. Lutik D. 71. Matveev M. 13. Oreshkevich I. 10. Sazonchik S. 18. Volskiy D. 31. Zaleskiy A. (C)
25. Yurasov T. (G) 66. Ageev A. 2. Bamba M. 7. Bykov A. 3. Chagovets Y. 89. Frantsuzov A. 11. Lomovitskiy A. 20. Martyanov G. 30. Pobudey V. 10. Sharkovskiy T. 13. Zaleskiy A. (C)
Substitutes
4. Akunets E. 8. Kaplenko N. 30. Soroko A. (G) 77. Sotnikov N. 11. Tsallagov D. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 9. Vasin I. 19. Veretennikov A.
29. Alfred S. 27. Gaevoy M. 1. Ignatovich S. (G) 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 47. Nalivayko V. 12. Pedro Acacio 9. Petrosyan G. 6. Premudrov K. 68. Zhulpa D.
Coaches
Trukhov I.
Baga A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Volskiy D. ↓, Sotnikov N. ↑,
15', Sazonchik S. 🟨,
15', Lomovitskiy A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Matveev M. ⚽, Gorbachik V. (A),
29', Lutik D. 🟨,
35', Lutik D. ↓, Akunets E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Pobudey V. ↓, Gaevoy M. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Antilevskiy D. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Bykov A. ⚽, Lomovitskiy A. (A),
60', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Alfred S. ↑,
68', Sharkovskiy T. ↓, Zhulpa D. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Zhulpa D. ⚽, Alfred S. (A),
79', 2 - 3, Lomovitskiy A. ⚽, Ageev A. (A),
86', Antilevskiy D. 🟨,
88', Lomovitskiy A. ↓, Pedro Acacio ↑,
88', Bykov A. ↓, Petrosyan G. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 4, Zhulpa D. ⚽,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 0.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Torpedo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Torpedo is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Belarus
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Sanko I. (G) 
Badoev K. 
Bamba M. 
Chagovets Y. 
Alfred S. 
Pedro Acacio 
Petrosyan G. 
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