The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ML Vitebsk 63.7%
Draw 23.2%
Neman Grodno 13.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.1%
27.8%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.7%
30.9%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ML Vitebsk's performance.
Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neman Grodno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neman Grodno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ML Vitebsk - Neman Grodno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 20. Volkov Z. 6. Gomanov K. 45. Moskalenchik I. 27. Mesarovic A. 55. Gromyko V. 15. Bocherov V. 10. Cleonise D. 80. Kontsevoy A. 4. Abdullahi O.
16. Matysyuk N. (G) 55. Girs D. 15. Evdokimov O. (C) 20. Sadovnichiy I. 8. Pantya Y. 4. Vasiljev A. 47. Kozlov M. 24. Yakimov A. 9. Pushnyakov S. 33. Spataru D. 88. Savitskiy P.
Substitutes
3. Baranok N. 12. Bosic R. 99. Bulanov M. 8. Gnaka S. 90. Grudko I. 7. Ivanov T. 5. Mohammadi M. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y.
19. Dayneko A. 22. Kirko I. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 6. Nazarenko A. 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 7. Ratkovic A. 17. Suchkov A. 2. Tonkevich V. 23. Yormie T.
Coaches
Diaz J.
Kovalevich I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Kontsevoy A. ⚽, Pavlyuchenko P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Balanovich S. ↓, Skibskiy Y. ↑,
56', Cleonise D. ↓, Bosic R. ↑,
64', Spataru D. ↓, Suchkov A. ↑,
64', Savitskiy P. ↓, Ratkovic A. ↑,
68', Mesarovic A. ↓, Gnaka S. ↑,
68', Gromyko V. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
77', Pantya Y. 🟨,
80', Pantya Y. 🟥,
88', Yakimov A. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
88', Girs D. ↓, Pavlyukovets Y. ↑,
90', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Bulanov M. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5th).
ML Vitebsk has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Neman is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
ML Vitebsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
ML Vitebsk carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for ML Vitebsk in today's match, at odds of 1.74.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, ML Vitebsk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ML Vitebsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Belarus
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Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 
Mesarovic A. 
Cleonise D. 
Abdullahi O. 
Pantya Y. 
Vasiljev A. 
Spataru D. 
Gnaka S. 
Mohammadi M. 
Yormie T. 
Diaz J. 
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