Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Nereto		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.65
	4.45	3.35	1.67
	3.95	3.3	1.74
	4.29	3.3	1.69
	4.2	3.3	1.7
	4.45	3.64	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (5.1)	3.4 ↓ (3.74)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nereto
20.9%

Draw
26.3%

Castelfidardo
52.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.7%

24.1%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

19.8%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nereto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castelfidardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nereto than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nereto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelfidardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nereto - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Nereto has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castelfidardo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Castelfidardo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nereto FC
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.12.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Nereto	4:2 ✺
12.12.21	Nereto - Fano	0:2 ✺
08.12.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Nereto	3:3 ✺
05.12.21	Nereto - Porto DAscoli	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Nereto - Trastevere	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTLL
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.12.21	Castelfidardo - Recanatese	0:2 ✺
12.12.21	Trastevere - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Castelfidardo - Pineto	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Aurora Alto Casertano - Castelfidardo	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Castelfidardo - Tolentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTWT

Nereto - Castelfidardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nereto - Castelfidardo Predictions

Preview

Form

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