The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castelfidardo 41%
Draw 28.9%
Tolentino 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
29.5%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
21.4%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castelfidardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castelfidardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castelfidardo - Tolentino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).
Castelfidardo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Tolentino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Castelfidardo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Castelfidardo have a series of guest games.
Castelfidardo will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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