Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castelfidardo		Tolentino

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.2	3	3
	2.15	3	3
	2.17	2.95	2.85
	2.24	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 (2.17)	3.08 ↑ (2.95)	2.96 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo
41%

Draw
28.9%

Tolentino
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

29.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelfidardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castelfidardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tolentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castelfidardo - Tolentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Castelfidardo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tolentino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelfidardo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Castelfidardo have a series of guest games.

Castelfidardo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelfidardo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.11.21	Montegiorgio - Castelfidardo	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Sambenedettese - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Castelfidardo - Matese	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Chieti - Castelfidardo	0:2 ✺
17.10.21	Vastese - Castelfidardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTWW
- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.11.21	Tolentino - Matese	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Fano - Tolentino	3:1 ✺
07.11.21	Tolentino - Vastese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Recanatese - Tolentino	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
31.10.21	Porto DAscoli - Tolentino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.21	Tolentino - Castelfidardo	1:1
23.12.20	Castelfidardo - Tolentino	1:1

Castelfidardo - Tolentino

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castelfidardo - Tolentino Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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