Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 32

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Minyor Pernik

	1	X	2
	6.2	3.8	1.48
	4.75	3.87	1.54
	5.86	4.35	1.45
	7.19	3.98	1.41
	6.2	3.8	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (3.8)	3.96 ↑ (3)	1.47 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nesebar
15.1%

Draw
23%

Minyor Pernik
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

29.7%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

24.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nesebar's form might have worsened.

Minyor Pernik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minyor Pernik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nesebar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minyor Pernik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Nesebar - Minyor Pernik Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nesebar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Minyor Pernik will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nesebar (votes: 2 - 40%). Minyor Pernik (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Minyor Pernik (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nesebar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Minyor Pernik (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Sheytanov M. (G) 14. Balinov D. 15. Dalev K. 11. Dimov G. 5. Dimov P. 13. Ivanov D. 8. Kunev V. 17. Petrov A. 3. Stoyanov I. (C) 10. Velinov S. 91. Yanev V.	1. Goshev I. (G) 7. Aleksandrov A. (C) 3. Chilikov P. 2. Dadakov M. 6. Ivanov 4. Madzharov G. 39. Orachev M. 15. Semerdzhiev V. 8. Slishkov K. 13. Yordanov Y. 10. Yosifov K.
Substitutes
18. Banchev B. 16. Jonathan 27. Kostov N. 99. Parashkevov K. 20. Peychev P. 33. Rahnev P. (G) 7. Slivov V.	12. Bozhidarov K. (G) 19. Chukanov B. 25. Dzhorov D. 5. Petrov V. 17. Simeonov K. 24. Stoimenov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,
80', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Nesebar has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Minyor Pernik is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Minyor Pernik is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nesebar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
13.04.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Nesebar - Montana	1:3 ✺
02.04.25	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Nesebar	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Nesebar - Spartak Pleven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLLL
- Minyor Pernik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
13.04.25	Minyor Pernik - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	CSKA Sofia II - Minyor Pernik	5:1 ✺
02.04.25	Minyor Pernik - Fratria	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Sportist Svoge - Minyor Pernik	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Minyor Pernik - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.10.24	Minyor Pernik - Nesebar	0:0

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