Match Info

EUROPE: EURO - QUALIFICATION - ROUND 1

Date: 23 March 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:45	Optus Sport
Belgium	20:45	Eleven Sports
Croatia	20:45	SportKlub
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	CMore, CMore Sport
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports
Malaysia	03:45	Astro
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV
Romania	21:45	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport
Slovenia	20:45	SportKlub
Sweden	20:45	TV6, Viaplay


	Italy		England

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.55
	2.95	3	2.55
	3	3.1	2.63
	2.8	3	2.68
	2.99	3.16	2.65
	2.8	3.2	2.55
	3.1	3.22	2.71	Watch
	3	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.58)	3.12 ↓ (3.26)	2.62 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
32.6%

Draw
30.8%

England
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.7%	46.2%	26.2%

Italy - England Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 18 - 27.7%). England will win (votes: 17 - 26.2%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.1% – 58.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Italy won 2.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Italy won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy
Friendly
20.11.22	Austria - Italy	2:0 ✺
16.11.22	Albania - Italy	1:3 ✺
UEFA Nations League
26.09.22	Hungary - Italy	0:2 ✺
23.09.22	Italy - England	1:0 ✺
14.06.22	Germany - Italy	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- England
FIFA World Cup
10.12.22	England - France	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	England - Senegal	3:0 ✺
29.11.22	Wales - England	0:3 ✺
25.11.22	England - USA	0:0 ✺
21.11.22	England - Iran	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
23.09.22	Italy - England	1:0
11.06.22	England - Italy	0:0
UEFA Euro
11.07.21	Italy - England	2:1 penalties
Friendly
27.03.18	England - Italy	1:1
31.03.15	Italy - England	1:1
24.09.14	Italy - England	2:0
FIFA World Cup
14.06.14	England - Italy	1:2

Italy - England