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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 61%
Draw 21.5%
New England Revolution 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.3%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
22.7%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Philadelphia Union - New England Revolution Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Philadelphia Union will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Blake A. (G) 39. Westfield F. 26. Harriel N. 5. Glesnes J. 27. Wagner K. 33. Sullivan Q. 21. Jean Jacques D. 8. Bueno J. 19. Vassilev I. 9. Baribo T. 20. Damiani B.
30. Turner M. (G) 12. Feingold I. 4. Beason T. 3. Ceballos B. 15. Bye B. 8. Polster M. 80. Yusuf A. 18. Oyirwoth A. 25. Miller P. 10. Gil C. 41. Langoni L.
Substitutes
11. Bedoya A. 25. Donovan C. 32. Iloski M. 15. Mbaizo O. 44. Pierre N. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 6. Sullivan C. 7. Uhre M.
24. Bono A. (G) 7. Chancalay T. 88. Farrell A. 59. George S. 5. Hughes K. 38. Klein E. 16. Omsberg W. 23. Sands W. 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Carnell B.
Moreira P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Oyirwoth A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Miller P. 🟨,
60', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
62', Yusuf A. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Damiani B. ⚽, Iloski M. (A), Westfield F. (A2)
72', Yusuf A. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
75', Miller P. 🟨,
77', Baribo T. ↓, Uhre M. ↑,
79', Feingold I. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
80', Oyirwoth A. ↓, Sands W. ↑,
82', Damiani B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
83', Bueno J. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
90+2', Polster M. ↓, Klein E. ↑,
90+2', Bye B. ↓, Farrell A. ↑,
90+5', Rafanello J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
Philadelphia is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5.
Recent performances by Philadelphia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New England's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
New England may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Philadelphia is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I.
(Knee Injury)
Lukic J.
(Yellow Cards)
Makhanya O.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in New England: Campana L.
(Muscle Injury)
Fofana M.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bender B.
(Calf Injury)
Blake A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in New England: Ganago I.
(Calf Injury)
Polster M.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).
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Blake A. (G) 
Westfield F. 
Glesnes J. 
Wagner K. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Bueno J. 
Baribo T. 
Damiani B. 
Ceballos B. 
Yusuf A. 
Oyirwoth A. 
Gil C. 
Langoni L. 
Mbaizo O. 
Uhre M. 
Carnell B. 
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