The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution 39.6%
Draw 25%
Chicago Fire 35.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
24.6%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
24%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
New England Revolution - Chicago Fire Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Turner M. (G) 12. Feingold I. 22. Kohler E. 66. Wynder J. 23. Sands W. 10. Gil C. (C) 21. Raines B. 8. Polster M. 41. Langoni L. 99. Turgeman D. 25. Miller P.
1. Brady C. (G) 2. Barroso L. 21. Hanche-Olsen A. 4. Mbokazi M. 15. Gutman A. 6. Saletros A. (C) 42. D'Avilla D. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Lewandowski R. 19. Bamba J.
Substitutes
15. Baker C. 4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 16. Gazdag D. 73. Gunn J. (G) 27. Harris W. 65. Siqueira J. 7. Yow G. 14. Yueill J.
32. Allen N. 44. Cohen J. (G) 24. Dean J. 12. Dithejane P. 18. Gomez J. 23. Mekvabishvili A. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 29. Poreba D.
Coaches
Mitrovic M.
Berhalter G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Polster M. ⚽, Gil C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Gutman A. 🟨,
66', Langoni L. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
68', Bamba J. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
68', D'Avilla D. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
68', Gutman A. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
76', Sands W. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
79', Kohler E. 🟨,
80', Barroso L. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
87', Turgeman D. ↓, Beason T. ↑,
87', Feingold I. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
New England could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for New England: Campana L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Fofana M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Harrison J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Yusuf A.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Chicago: Elliott J.
(Red Card)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Lod R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mekvabishvili A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, New England has recorded 5 wins, 11 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:37 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for New England against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:15 goals (averaging 1.6:1.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Fire - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.42%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Usa
International
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Turner M. (G) 
Feingold I. 
Gil C. (C) 
Langoni L. 
Barroso L. 
Hanche-Olsen A. 
Mbokazi M. 
Saletros A. (C) 
D'Avilla D. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Lewandowski R. 
Fagundez D. 
Gazdag D. 
Gunn J. (G) 
Allen N. 
Mekvabishvili A. 
Mitrovic M. 
