The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution 34.5%
Draw 25.5%
Chicago Fire 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
24.3%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
23.7%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
7.1%
92.9%
New England Revolution - Chicago Fire Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 79.4% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chicago Fire will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Turner M. (G) 2. Fofana M. 4. Beason T. 5. Hughes K. 12. Feingold I. 10. Gil C. 14. Yueill J. 80. Yusuf A. 23. Sands W. 9. Campana L. 11. Turgeman D.
1. Brady C. (G) 16. Waterman J. 3. Elliott J. 5. Rogers S. 11. Zinckernagel P. 6. Kouame R. 42. D'Avilla D. 19. Bamba J. 24. Dean J. 9. Cuypers H. 15. Gutman A.
Substitutes
24. Bono A. (G) 15. Bye B. 7. Chancalay T. 45. Diarbian G. 88. Farrell A. 38. Klein E. 41. Langoni L. 16. Omsberg W. 18. Oyirwoth A.
23. Acosta K. 12. Barlow T. 25. Gal J. (G) 34. Gonzalez O. 17. Gutierrez B. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 36. Reynolds J.
Coaches
Moreira P.
Berhalter G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Yusuf A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rogers S. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
46', Kouame R. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
58', Bamba J. ↓, Haile-Selassie M. ↑,
61', Campana L. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
68', Turgeman D. 🟨,
71', Yueill J. ↓, Farrell A. ↑,
81', Dean J. ↓, Reynolds J. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽,
85', Fofana M. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,
86', Feingold I. ↓, Bye B. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Turgeman D. ⚽, Gil C. (A),
90+9', Langoni L. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Waterman J. ⚽,
90+12', Elliott J. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 1.
New England is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chicago is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in New England: Ceballos B.
(Yellow Cards)
Ganago I.
(Calf Injury)
Miller P.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Franco A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Gonzalez O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mueller C.
(Health problems)
Radojevic V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in New England: Feingold I.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, New England won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Fire - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 41.02%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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Turner M. (G) 
Fofana M. 
Feingold I. 
Gil C. 
Yusuf A. 
Campana L. 
Waterman J. 
Elliott J. 
Zinckernagel P. 
D'Avilla D. 
Cuypers H. 
Chancalay T. 
Oyirwoth A. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
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