Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	EA Sports FC


	New York Red Bulls		Inter Miami

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.7	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.45
	2.38	3.55	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3.8	2.96
	2.44	3.64	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.5
	2.3	3.79	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.68)	3.71 ↑ (3.42)	2.74 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
39.6%

Draw
25.7%

Inter Miami
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.6%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

27%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls's performance.

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Miami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Miami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	12.5%	16.7%

New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - NY Red Bulls (1.71) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Inter Miami (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Inter Miami (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York Red Bulls will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Inter Miami (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carlos Coronel (G) 3. Eile N. 15. Nealis S. 42. Hack A. 44. Edwards R. 37. Sofo M. 75. Edelman D. 48. Donkor R. 10. Forsberg E. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 16. Hall J.	34. Rios R. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 37. Falcon M. 2. Lujan G. 18. Alba J. 21. Allende T. 55. Redondo Solari F. 5. Busquets S. 8. Segovia T. 10. Messi L. 9. Suarez L.
Substitutes
7. Bogacz W. 19. Carmona W. 6. Duncan K. 22. Gjengaar D. 1. Marcucci A. (G) 12. Nealis D. 26. Parker T. 8. Stroud P. 5. Valencia O.	6. Aviles T. 42. Bright Y. 30. Cremaschi B. 22. Leo Afonso 81. Morales S. 7. Picault F. 41. Ruiz D. 15. Sailor R. 25. Yarbrough W. (G)
Coaches
Schwarz S.	Mascherano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', Segovia T. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Hack A. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Alba J. ⚽, Messi L. (A), Suarez L. (A2)
27', 1 - 2, Segovia T. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
29', Falcon M. 🟨,
34', Donkor R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 3, Segovia T. ⚽,
45+6', Weigandt M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Edwards R. 🟨,
56', Donkor R. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
56', Hall J. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
60', 1 - 4, Messi L. ⚽, Busquets S. (A), Alba J. (A2)
65', Allende T. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
74', Sofo M. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
74', Segovia T. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
75', Lujan G. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
75', 1 - 5, Messi L. ⚽, Suarez L. (A), Cremaschi B. (A2)
84', Edelman D. ↓, Stroud P. ↑,
85', Busquets S. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
85', Alba J. ↓, Morales S. ↑,
90+3', Edwards R. ↓, Nealis D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Obando A. (Muscle Injury) Ustari O. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
16.07.25	New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution	5:3 ✺
12.07.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	New York Red Bulls - Minnesota United	2:2 ✺
25.06.25	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTTT
- Inter Miami
MLS
16.07.25	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	New England Revolution - Inter Miami	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	CF Montréal - Inter Miami	1:4 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
29.06.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
03.05.25	Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls	4:1
04.05.24	Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls	6:2
23.03.24	New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami	4:0
26.08.23	New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami	0:2
31.05.23	Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls	0:1
27.08.22	New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami	3:1
22.05.22	Inter Miami - New York Red Bulls	2:0

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