Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 1

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Croudace Bay Complex (Lake Macquarie)


	Valentine Phoenix		Belmont Swansea United

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.5	1.62	Watch
				Watch
	3.41	3.88	1.82
	3.18	4.37	1.88	Watch
	3.8	4.2	1.65
	3.85	4.68	1.68	Watch
	3.66	4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.69)	4.27 ↑ (3.93)	1.73 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentine Phoenix
25.5%

Draw
21.5%

Belmont Swansea United
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

23.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentine Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentine Phoenix's form might have worsened.

Belmont Swansea United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belmont Swansea United's recent form is better than expected.

Valentine Phoenix - Belmont Swansea United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Belmont Swansea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Valentine won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
10.08.25	Valentine Phoenix - Weston Bears	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Broadmeadow Magic - Valentine Phoenix	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Valentine Phoenix - Maitland	1:6 ✺
19.07.25	Lambton Jaffas - Valentine Phoenix	7:0 ✺
13.07.25	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Belmont Swansea United
Australian NPL Northern NSW
13.08.25	Maitland - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:3 ✺
27.07.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Belmont Swansea United - New Lambton	0:0 ✺
16.07.25	Belmont Swansea United - Maitland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
31.05.25	Belmont Swansea United - Valentine Phoenix	2:1
01.03.25	Valentine Phoenix - Belmont Swansea United	2:2

Valentine Phoenix - Belmont Swansea United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide