Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Belson Stadium (New York, NY)


	New York City II		Colorado Springs Switchbacks

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.87	3.5	2.05
	2.95	3.6	2.15
	3.04	3.7	2.14
	3.04	3.7	2.12
	2.88	3.5	2
	3.08	3.66	2.14	Watch
	3	3.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)	3.61 ↓ (3.61)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City II
30.9%

Draw
25.5%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Colorado Springs Switchbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Springs Switchbacks than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

New York City II - Colorado Springs Switchbacks Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. New York City II will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Colorado Springs will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Romero T. (G) 38. Baiera A. 42. Elias P. 61. Hauschild A. 18. McFarlane C. 31. Owusu S. 32. Shore J. 29. Carrizo M. 99. Calheira T. 7. Mijatovic J. 77. Jimenez J.	56. Zamudio L. (G) 4. Pierre D. 5. Mahoney M. 14. Lacroix D. 3. Ackwei W. 13. Echevarria S. 17. Henriquez J. 11. Huerman Q. 7. Magee T. 20. Hanya Y. 27. Tejada J.
Substitutes
74. Arevalo R. 20. Arroyave J. 37. Bednarsky S. 47. Haxhari K. 63. Leong M. 75. Meyer W. (G) 70. Rozhansky J.	21. Andersson A. 46. Clarke D. 9. Damus R. 8. Fjeldberg J. 1. Herrera C. (G) 18. Rocha A. 2. Santos K.
Coaches
Pilkington M.	Chambers J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽,
15', Elias P. 🟨,
39', Pierre D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lacroix D. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
46', Tejada J. ↓, Damus R. ↑,
46', Huerman Q. ↓, Fjeldberg J. ↑,
60', Henriquez J. 🟨,
65', Henriquez J. ↓, Rocha A. ↑,
70', Shore J. ↓, Rozhansky J. ↑,
70', Carrizo M. ↓, Arevalo R. ↑,
72', Hanya Y. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
82', Elias P. ↓, Bednarsky S. ↑,
88', Rocha A. 🟨,
88', Rocha A. 🟨,
90+4', Ackwei W. 🟨,
90+5', Calheira T. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Colorado Springs will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City II
MLS Next Pro
03.05.24	Atlanta United II - New York City II	1:0 penalties ✺
28.04.24	New York City II - Crown Legacy	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Columbus Crew 2 - New York City II	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Hartford Athletic - New York City II	2:3 ET ✺
MLS Next Pro
14.04.24	New York City II - New England Revolution II	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LLWWW
- Colorado Springs Switchbacks
USL Championship
04.05.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Oakland Roots - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLL

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