Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison)

Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)


	New York Red Bulls		San Jose Earthquakes

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	5	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5
	1.63	4	5.1
	1.69	3.94	5.37
	1.67	3.6	5.25
	1.67	3.78	5.2	Watch
	1.68	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	3.82 ↓ (4.03)	5.13 ↓ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
56.8%

Draw
24.8%

San Jose Earthquakes
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.7%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

NY Red Bulls has the most likely position - 7 (8.29%), project points - 47, currently - 6, a good chance of playoffs (63%), a very small chance of supporters shield (1%), a very small chance of win league (3%).

San Jose has the most likely position - 8 (9.17%), project points - 45, currently - 10, a good chance of playoffs (64%), a very small chance of supporters shield (1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 41, small importance 19, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 4.

Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Jose is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently San Jose have a series of home games.

In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Morgan L. (Injury)

There will not play in San Jose: Daniel (Injury) Nathan (Knee Injury) Tsakiris N. (Injury)

There are questionable in San Jose: Gruezo C. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-9.

Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
01.04.23	Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Charlotte - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Minnesota United - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWTT
- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
01.04.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Toronto FC	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
26.02.22	San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls	1:3
16.03.19	New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes	4:1
06.10.18	San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls	1:3
19.07.17	New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes	5:1
13.04.16	San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls	2:0
17.04.15	New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0
19.07.14	New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1

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