The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 38.9%
Draw 25.6%
San Jose Earthquakes 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
26.1%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
26.6%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 15 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 5. MacNaughton L. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 14. Totland T. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 6. Wallem C. 11. Becher S. 16. Cordova S. 17. Hartel M.
36. Edwards E. (G) 17. Jasinski J. 5. Munie D. 25. Floriani M. 4. Romney D. 6. Harkes I. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 16. Skahan J. 20. Fernandez N. 11. Werner T. (C) 19. Judd P.
Substitutes
27. Fall F. 59. Joyner M. 10. Lowen E. 39. Lundt B. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos 36. Teuchert C.
7. Bouda O. 21. Buck N. 42. Daniel (G) 34. Leroux B. 3. Marie P. 2. Ricketts J. 18. Roberts R. 10. Tsakiris N. 14. Vieira R.
Coaches
Damet Y.
Arena B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Judd P. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A), Werner T. (A2)
24', Edwards E. ↓, Daniel ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↓, Vieira R. ↑,
46', Skahan J. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Cordova S. ⚽, Hartel M. (A), Durkin C. (A2)
54', 2 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Becher S. (A),
59', Judd P. 🟨,
61', Fernandez N. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Werner T. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Floriani M. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
75', Daniel 🟨,
75', Cordova S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
81', Becher S. ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Werner T. ⚽, Bouda O. (A),
84', Ricketts J. 🟨,
84', Durkin C. 🟨,
85', Totland T. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
85', Edelman D. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
90+5', Polvara D. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 5.
St. Louis City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Jose is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
St. Louis City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
Orozco J.
(Concussion)
There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
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Burki R. (C) 
MacNaughton L. 
Baumgartl T. 
Polvara D. 
Totland T. 
Cordova S. 
Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 
Fall F. 
Rafael Santos 
Bouda O. 
Buck N. 
Marie P. 
Vieira R. 
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