Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison, NJ)

Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	New York Red Bulls		Columbus Crew

	1	X	2
	3	3.9	2.1	Watch
	2.98	3.95	2.18	Watch
	3.06	3.98	2.23
	2.98	3.91	2.17	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	3.07	3.95	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.63)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)	2.17 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
31.8%

Draw
24.5%

Columbus Crew
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

25.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	7.1%	85.7%

New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 77.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 26. Parker T. 12. Nealis D. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 7. Cowell C. 16. Hall J. 11. Ruvalcaba J.	28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 4. Camacho R. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 45. Presthus O. 27. Arfsten M. 20. Gomes A. 17. Bangoura S. 30. Picard H. 8. Gazdag D. 16. Habroune T.
Substitutes
39. Benedetti N. 4. Berggren G. 2. Che J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 33. Mitchell R. 79. Mosquera R. 37. Sofo M. 5. Valencia O. 6. Voloder R.	46. Adams C. 90. Akhundzade N. 21. Cheberko Y. 23. Farsi M. 1. Hagen N. (G) 2. Herrera A. 10. Rossi D. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.
Coaches
Bradley M.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Hall J. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Arfsten M. ⚽, Picard H. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Hall J. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
45+3', Habroune T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dos Santos M. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
60', Gazdag D. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
60', Presthus O. ↓, Farsi M. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Rossi D. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Nealis D. ↓, Che J. ↑,
65', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
65', Forsberg E. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
68', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
71', Camacho R. 🟨,
78', 3 - 2, Hall J. ⚽,
83', Valencia O. 🟨,
85', Hall J. ↓, Mitchell R. ↑,
85', Habroune T. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
85', Bangoura S. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
90+7', Mosquera R. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.

Recent form of NY Red Bulls has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Columbus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.

Columbus could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Knee Injury) Thiare J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Amundsen M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Columbus Crew - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
MLS
09.05.26	Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	New York Red Bulls - New York City	1:3 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	New York Red Bulls - DC United	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLT
- Columbus Crew
MLS
10.05.26	New York City - Columbus Crew	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Columbus Crew - Minnesota United	2:3 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	Columbus Crew - One Knoxville	4:1 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Columbus Crew - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
18.10.25	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	3:1
30.08.25	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	0:0
03.11.24	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	3:2 penalties
29.10.24	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	0:1
19.10.24	New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew	2:3
16.03.24	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	3:0
01.07.23	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	2:1

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