The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Jets 41.4%
Draw 26.8%
Sydney 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
24.7%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
25.1%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.
Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
11.1%
55.6%
Newcastle Jets - Sydney Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sydney will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sydney (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 14. Burgess M. (C) 7. Adams E. 28. Dobson W. 8. Bayliss L. 13. Taylor C. 9. Rose L.
12. Devenish-Meares H. (G) 23. Grant R. (C) 41. Popovic A. 4. Courtney-Perkins J. 17. Garuccio B. 8. Kamijo W. 24. Okon-Engstler P. 44. Akon A. 20. Quintal T. 7. Quispe Cordova P. A. 80. Stamatelopoulos A.
Substitutes
43. Bertoncello X. 10. Clough Z. 11. Gibson B. 17. Grozos K. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 24. Nunes A.
70. Arslan A. 9. Campuzano V. 1. Hoefsloot G. (G) 16. King J. 10. Lolley J. 13. Wood P. 36. Youlley R.
Coaches
Milligan M.
Kisnorbo P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Burgess M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wilmering D. 🟨,
54', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
57', Dobson W. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Quispe Cordova P. A. ⚽,
69', Dobson W. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
73', Quintal T. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
76', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
79', Rose L. 🟨,
80', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
82', Okon-Engstler P. 🟨,
87', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Wood P. ↑,
87', Natta M. 🟨,
90', Taylor C. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Adams E. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
97', Akon A. ↓, Lolley J. ↑,
97', Kamijo W. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
101', Bayliss L. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
101', Burgess M. ↓, Grozos K. ↑,
103', Bertolissio J. 🟨,
113', Arslan A. 🟨,
117', Wood P. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Lolley J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Grozos K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Youlley R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mizunuma K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Campuzano V. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gibson B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Grant R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bertoncello X. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Garuccio B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sydney is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Knee Injury)
Nassiep A.
(Inactive)
Scicluna L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sydney: Akon A.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).