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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Jets 59.7%
Draw 20%
Central Coast Mariners 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
19%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
18.2%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Jets will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 5. Shaughnessy J. 33. Natta M. 23. Wilmering D. 8. Bayliss L. 28. Dobson W. 14. Burgess M. (C) 13. Taylor C. 11. Gibson B. 7. Adams E.
30. Redmayne A. (C) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 26. Tapp B. 5. Mauragis L. 72. Auglah A. 48. Donnell C. 23. Lavale O. 6. Eames H. 45. Mantell J. 18. Blair N.
Substitutes
43. Bertoncello X. 10. Clough Z. 42. Cooper M. 17. Grozos K. 18. Mizunuma K. 20. Nassiep A. (G) 24. Nunes A.
37. Brandtman B. 10. Di Pizio M. 43. Nasso J. 3. Paull N. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 16. Steele H. 7. Theoharous C.
Coaches
Milligan M.
Moon W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Dobson W. ⚽, Gibson B. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Taylor C. ⚽, Adams E. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Adams E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tapp B. ↓, Paull N. ↑,
56', Adams E. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
56', Shaughnessy J. ↓, Cooper M. ↑,
62', Blair N. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
62', Mantell J. ↓, Di Pizio M. ↑,
68', Gibson B. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
68', Dobson W. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
77', Bayliss L. 🟨,
78', Lavale O. 🟨,
80', Auglah A. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
80', Taylor C. ↓, Grozos K. ↑,
86', Eames H. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Mizunuma K. ⚽, Bayliss L. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
Newcastle is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Injury)
Badolato A.
(Knee Injury)
Baylis J.
(Inactive)
Bracco C.
(Knee Injury)
Cockle O.
(Inactive)
Dobson W.
(Inactive)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Inactive)
Shaughnessy J.
(Inactive)
Van Dorssen B.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S.
(Injury)
Di Pizio M.
(Injury)
McCalmont A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Central Coast: James Ngor S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.8:2.1).
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Delianov J. (G) 
Shaughnessy J. 
Bayliss L. 
Clough Z. 
Mizunuma K. 
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