Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Darling Street Oval (Newcastle)


	Newcastle Olympic		Weston Bears

	1	X	2
	2.9	4	1.9	Watch
	3	3.9	1.95
	3.26	3.97	2.03
	3.16	4.27	1.93
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	3.2	3.85	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (3.03)	3.93 ↑ (3.89)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Olympic
29.5%

Draw
23.3%

Weston Bears
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

23.2%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

22.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Weston Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston Bears than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Newcastle Olympic - Weston Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: )).

Newcastle Olympic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Weston Bears is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Weston Bears may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Weston Bears will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Olympic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.05.26	Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	1:6 ✺
25.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Edgeworth Eagles	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Broadmeadow Magic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTTL
- Weston Bears FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.05.26	Weston Bears - Valentine Phoenix	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Weston Bears - Edgeworth Eagles	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Bears	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Kahibah - Weston Bears	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lambton Jaffas - Weston Bears	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
21.02.26	Weston Bears - Newcastle Olympic	4:1
06.08.25	Weston Bears - Newcastle Olympic	5:1

Newcastle Olympic - Weston Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide