Match Info

Women’s FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1


	Newcastle United		West Ham

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.55	1.95
	3.43	3.18	2.11	Watch
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	3.24	3.78	1.9
	3	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.59)	3.57 ↓ (3.7)	1.99 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
28.7%

Draw
25.5%

West Ham
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.3%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

22.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

West Ham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Newcastle United - West Ham Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tamminen A. (G) 2. Wardlaw C. 25. Mannion A. 5. Purfield J. 3. Stokes D. (C) 4. Nobbs J. 22. Joel L. 20. Sevenius O. 10. Pike M. 26. Lumsden B. 9. Hayles S.	1. Szemik K. (C) 2. Endo Y. 13. Nystrom E. 28. Cascarino E. 23. Morgan F. 4. Siren O. 21. Brasero-Carreira S. 29. Hanshaw V. 27. Wandeler L. 9. Ueki R. 20. Asseyi V.
Substitutes
6. Boddy E. 56. Freeman A. 11. Gregory F. 21. McQuade J. 13. Moan C. (G) 35. Murphy E.	7. Belloumou I. 12. Bose R. 43. Cemal S. 33. Houssein H. 30. O'Hanlon K. (G) 77. Piubel S. 42. Taylor-Brown E. 25. Walsh M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Asseyi V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Ueki R. ⚽,
62', Hayles S. ↓, Murphy E. ↑,
63', Joel L. ↓, Boddy E. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Brasero-Carreira S. ⚽,
72', Wandeler L. ↓, Piubel S. ↑,
75', Ueki R. ↓, Houssein H. ↑,
76', Stokes D. ↓, Gregory F. ↑,
83', Cascarino E. ↓, Belloumou I. ↑,

Preview

Newcastle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

West Ham is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

In this match, West Ham is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 3.98.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United Women
English WSL 2
21.12.25	Portsmouth - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup Women
14.12.25	Newcastle United - Liverpool Feds	4:0 ✺
English WSL 2
08.12.25	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.11.25	Newcastle United - Everton	1:3 ✺
English WSL 2
16.11.25	Newcastle United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW
- West Ham Women
English WSL
11.01.26	Chelsea - West Ham	5:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.12.25	West Ham - Manchester City	1:5 ✺
English WSL
14.12.25	West Ham - Liverpool LFC	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Manchester United - West Ham	2:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.11.25	Portsmouth - West Ham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Newcastle United - West Ham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide