Match Info

Women's League Cup - Round 3

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)


	Newcastle United		Everton

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	1.8
	25.00	12.87	1.00	Watch
	3.83	3.76	1.74
	3.5	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.96 ↑ (3.5)	6.03 ↑ (3.75)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
12.3%

Draw
18.3%

Everton
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.1%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

21.8%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle United's form might have worsened.

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Everton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-24.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Everton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newcastle United - Everton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Moan C. (G) 99. Cataldo L. 15. Grec M. 12. Cooper D. (C) 5. Purfield J. 26. Lumsden B. 4. Nobbs J. 21. McQuade J. 11. Gregory F. 35. Murphy E. 9. Hayles S.	1. Brosnan C. (C) 13. Kitagawa H. 5. Fernandez M. 30. Mace R. 3. Ishikawa R. 7. Wheeler C. 6. Hayashi H. 18. Vignola O. 29. Momiki Y. 9. Oyedupe Payne A. 11. Gago K.
Substitutes
56. Freeman A. 27. Hawkins H. (G) 25. Mannion A. 10. Pike M. 53. Richardson A. 20. Sevenius O. 3. Stokes D. 1. Tamminen A. (G) 2. Wardlaw C.	28. Holmgaard K. 34. Jones E. 16. Ladd H. 12. Ramsey E. (G) 19. Robinson K. 25. Snoeijs K. 8. van Gool R. 24. Weir K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Momiki Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cooper D. ↓, Mannion A. ↑,
46', Gago K. ↓, Snoeijs K. ↑,
54', Hayles S. ↓, Sevenius O. ↑,
72', Fernandez M. 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Snoeijs K. ⚽, Oyedupe Payne A. (A),
74', 0 - 3, Oyedupe Payne A. ⚽, Snoeijs K. (A),
75', Purfield J. ↓, Stokes D. ↑,
75', Gregory F. ↓, Pike M. ↑,
77', Fernandez M. ↓, Weir K. ↑,
77', Ishikawa R. ↓, Holmgaard K. ↑,
77', Vignola O. ↓, van Gool R. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Lumsden B. ⚽,
81', Mannion A. 🟨,
84', Snoeijs K. ↓, Jones E. ↑,
90+2', McQuade J. 🟨,
90+3', Hayashi H. 🟨,
90+4', Lumsden B. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,

Preview

Newcastle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Everton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Everton is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United Women
English WSL 2
16.11.25	Newcastle United - Sunderland	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Durham - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ipswich Town - Newcastle United	1:4 ✺
English League Cup Women
19.10.25	Newcastle United - Manchester City	3:4 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
12.10.25	Newcastle United - Bristol City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWLT
- Everton LFC
English WSL
16.11.25	West Ham - Everton	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Everton - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Aston Villa - Everton	3:3 ✺
English League Cup Women
19.10.25	Everton - Nottingham Forest	2:1 penalties ✺
English WSL
12.10.25	Everton - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup Women
02.10.24	Newcastle United - Everton	1:2 penalties

Newcastle United - Everton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide