Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League 2 - Round 9

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Blue Flames (Newcastle)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)


	Newcastle United U21		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.98	4	2.7
	1.95	4	2.95
	2	4.34	2.9
	1.96	4.35	2.9
	2.1	4.33	2.4
	2.01	4.1	2.95	Watch
	1.98	4.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.21)	4.17 ↑ (3.86)	2.81 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United U21
45.7%

Draw
21.8%

Leeds United U21
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

23.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

23.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Newcastle United U21 - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harris A. (G) 2. Shahar L. (C) 5. Thompson C. 4. McArthur C. 3. Charlton D. 8. Stanton E. 6. Miley J. 10. Harrison A. 7. Turner-Cooke J. 9. Crossley K. 11. Diallo A.	1. van den Heuvel D. (G) 2. Cresswell A. 6. Monteiro D. 5. Moore K. (C) 3. Ferguson C. 8. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 4. Coleman C. 7. Richards J. 10. Chambers S. 11. Allen C. 9. Thomas L.
Substitutes
16. Brayson J. 13. Brown W. (G) 15. De Bolle L. 14. Hackett J. 12. Heffernan C.	12. Christy H. (G) 17. Debayo J. 14. Douglas C. 16. Lopata-White R. 15. Snowdon J.
Coaches
Dawson B.	Gardner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', McArthur C. ↓, Heffernan C. ↑,
59', Ferguson C. ↓, Lopata-White R. ↑,
59', Allen C. ↓, Douglas C. ↑,
65', Miley J. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Thomas L. (Pen),
67', Stanton E. ↓, De Bolle L. ↑,
76', Crossley K. ↓, Brayson J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Thomas L. ⚽, Chambers S. (A),
84', Miley J. ↓, Hackett J. ↑,
90+6', Coleman C. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 17 and 16 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: )).

Newcastle U21 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Leeds U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leeds U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Leeds U21 have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League 2
13.04.24	Newcastle United U21 - Fulham U21	1:3 ✺
05.04.24	Newcastle United U21 - West Bromwich Albion U21	3:2 ✺
22.03.24	Middlesbrough U21 - Newcastle United U21	3:2 ✺
18.03.24	Sunderland U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:3 ✺
08.03.24	Newcastle United U21 - Chelsea U21	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWL
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
15.04.24	Leeds United U21 - Derby County U21	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Nottingham Forest U21 - Leeds United U21	4:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
30.03.24	Leeds United U21 - Chelsea U21	2:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
15.03.24	Leeds United U21 - Fulham U21	3:5 ✺
08.03.24	Leeds United U21 - Norwich City U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
13.02.23	Newcastle United U21 - Leeds United U21	2:2
07.11.22	Leeds United U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:2

Newcastle United U21 - Leeds United U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide