Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League 2 - Round 19

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Mulligan J. (Eng)


	Leeds United U21		Derby County U21

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.9	2.5
	2.2	4.2	2.45
	2.17	4.51	2.58
	2.13	4.51	2.54
	2.1	4	2.45
	2.21	3.98	2.65	Watch
	2.16	4.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.22)	4.17 ↓ (4.19)	2.53 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United U21
42.2%

Draw
21.8%

Derby County U21
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

21.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

21%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Leeds United U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van den Heuvel D. (G) 2. Cresswell A. 5. Debayo J. 6. Lopata-White R. 3. Godden S. 4. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 8. Crewe C. (C) 7. Allen C. 10. Chambers S. 11. Snowdon J. 9. Thomas L.	1. Thompson J. (G) 2. Radcliffe B. 5. Cox D. 6. Robinson K. 3. Moloney R. 7. Nto E. 8. Stepien-Iwumene A. 4. Hawkins H. 11. Allen C. 10. Wheeldon L. 9. Weston T. (C)
Substitutes
12. Christy H. (G) 15. Coleman C. 17. Ferguson C. 16. Monteiro D. 14. Moore K.	15. Gough B. 16. McAndrew N. 14. Oguntolu J. 12. Osayande A. 13. Shattell J. (G)
Coaches
Gardner S.	Buxton J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Snowdon J. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Snowdon J. ⚽, Allen C. (A),
30', Robinson K. 🟨,
31', 3 - 0, Lopata-White R. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Godden S. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
47', Lopata-White R. 🟨,
52', Ferguson C. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
58', Nto E. ↓, McAndrew N. ↑,
68', Hawkins H. ↓, Gough B. ↑,
73', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
74', Stepien-Iwumene A. ↓, Osayande A. ↑,
74', Wheeldon L. ↓, Oguntolu J. ↑,
78', Chambers S. ↓, Coleman C. ↑,
86', Debayo J. ↓, Monteiro D. ↑,
87', Allen C. 🟨,
90+4', Coleman C. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 26 and 25).

Leeds U21 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Derby U21 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leeds U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Leeds U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
06.04.24	Nottingham Forest U21 - Leeds United U21	4:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
30.03.24	Leeds United U21 - Chelsea U21	2:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
15.03.24	Leeds United U21 - Fulham U21	3:5 ✺
08.03.24	Leeds United U21 - Norwich City U21	0:2 ✺
04.03.24	Leicester City U21 - Leeds United U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Derby County U21
English Premier League 2
05.04.24	West Ham United U21 - Derby County U21	3:2 ✺
15.03.24	Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Derby County U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21	2:4 ✺
19.02.24	Derby County U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
06.03.23	Leeds United U21 - Derby County U21	3:0
05.08.22	Derby County U21 - Leeds United U21	2:5

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