Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Newcastle United U21		Nottingham Forest U21

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.65	3.75	2.2
	2.8	3.71	2.31
	2.8	3.71	2.32
	2.6	3.7	2.24
	2.65	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.48)	3.72 ↑ (3.68)	2.25 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United U21
34.4%

Draw
24.7%

Nottingham Forest U21
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Nottingham Forest U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest U21 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Newcastle U21 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nottingham U21 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nottingham U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League 2
29.10.23	Newcastle United U21 - Everton U21	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Port Vale - Newcastle United U21	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League Cup
07.10.23	Newcastle United U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTTT
- Nottingham Forest U21
English Premier League 2
03.11.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
25.10.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Nice II	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Carlisle United - Nottingham Forest U21	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
06.10.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Huddersfield Town U21	1:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	1:1
18.03.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Newcastle United U21	3:1
16.09.22	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	2:1

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