Match Info

Date: 14 March 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Newcastle Utd U23		Birmingham City U23

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.15
	1.74	3.6	3.6
	1.76	4.09	3.77
	1.72	4.1	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)	3.9 (3.9)	3.86 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Utd U23
53.1%

Draw
23.3%

Birmingham City U23
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.4%

22.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

20.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Utd U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Birmingham City U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Utd U23 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City U23 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newcastle Utd U23 - Birmingham City U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 11).

Recent matches Newcastle U23 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Newcastle U23 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Newcastle U23 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U23
English Premier League 2
28.02.22	Norwich City U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	3:4 ✺
21.02.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - Fulham U23	1:6 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.02.22	Huddersfield Town U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	2:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
31.01.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - Aston Villa U23	2:0 ✺
24.01.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- Birmingham City U23
English Premier League 2
06.03.22	Birmingham City U23 - Reading U23	0:0 ✺
27.02.22	Birmingham City U23 - Middlesbrough U23	4:2 ✺
21.02.22	Southampton U23 - Birmingham City U23	2:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
17.02.22	Birmingham City U23 - Watford U23	3:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
07.02.22	Wolverhampton U23 - Birmingham City U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
21.01.22	Birmingham City U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	0:2
11.10.21	Newcastle Utd U23 - Birmingham City U23	4:0
English Premier League 2
23.08.21	Birmingham City U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	0:4

Newcastle Utd U23 - Birmingham City U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Newcastle Utd U23 - Birmingham City U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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