Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 19

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Lamolina N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Newells Old Boys		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	5.25	Watch
	1.9	2.9	4.8
	1.9	3	4.8	Watch
	1.95	3.02	5.18
	2.05	3.01	4.36	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.4
	1.94	3.05	4.79	Watch
	1.9	3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.11)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	4.8 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
48.9%

Draw
31.4%

Sarmiento de Junín
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

32.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

32.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Newells Old Boys - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: Newells Old Boys will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% – 96.29%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Macagno R. (C) 4. Schott A. 25. Velazquez G. 6. Salcedo S. 16. Calderara B. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 41. Perez T. 24. Silvetti M. 19. Miljevic M. 7. Cardozo F. 9. Garcia J.	42. Acosta L. (G) 29. Lopez E. 32. Paredes F. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 33. Diaz G. 52. Mendez E. 5. Garcia M. 28. Gho J. 10. Gaitan N. 22. Burgoa V. 18. Morales I.
Substitutes
46. Acuna V. 48. Altamirano P. 17. Carabajal G. 38. Chiaverano G. 1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 35. Jaime M. 42. Juarez A. 14. Mendez A. 99. Ramirez I. 21. Vangioni L.	26. Arismendi Y. 23. Cabezas B. 99. Champagne N. (G) 16. Guasone J. 20. Gudino G. 31. Guiacobini T. 21. Hauche G. 7. Lopez L. 11. Monaco M. 36. Morales S. 9. Naya E. 38. Rosales M.
Coaches
Lunari R.	Funes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Calderara B. ↓, Vangioni L. ↑,
13', Paredes F. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Morales I. ⚽, Gaitan N. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Silvetti M. ⚽, Miljevic M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cardozo F. ↓, Jaime M. ↑,
54', Mendez E. 🟨,
67', Garcia M. ↓, Guiacobini T. ↑,
67', Diaz G. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
72', Burgoa V. ↓, Hauche G. ↑,
72', Gho J. ↓, Gudino G. ↑,
76', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
77', Morales I. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
78', Silvetti M. ↓, Chiaverano G. ↑,
78', Garcia J. ↓, Juarez A. ↑,
86', Miljevic M. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
90+3', Paredes F. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 and 25).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newells Old Boys won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Newells Old Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Newells Old Boys is a favorite.

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Banega E. (Injury) Besozzi L. (Injury) Cacciabue J. (Injury) Glavinovich I. (Muscle Injury) Hoyos L. (Muscle Injury) Sotelo D. (Injury)

There will not play in Sarmiento: Molina A. (Injury) Paradela F. (Injury) Pourtau J. (Injury) Roncaglia F. (Injury) Sauro G. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Newells Old Boys won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Newells Old Boys won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.10.24	Godoy Cruz - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	3:3 ✺
21.09.24	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Argentinos Juniors - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTWL
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sarmiento de Junín	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Central Córdoba	1:3 ✺
15.09.24	Godoy Cruz - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys	0:1
05.11.23	Newells Old Boys - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.06.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys	0:0
17.09.22	Newells Old Boys - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.03.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.10.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Newells Old Boys	2:1
Copa Argentina
17.05.21	Newells Old Boys - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1

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