The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de Junín 27.8%
Draw 33%
Unión Santa Fe 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
32.4%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
31.8%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de Junín's performance.
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Santa Fe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de Junín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Santa Fe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
33.3%
41.7%
Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Unión will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Unión (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 26. Arismendi Y. 19. Contrera J. 15. Zabala C. 25. Villalba C. 8. Salle S. 27. Marabel J. 9. Diego Churin
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 25. Tarragona C. 19. Estigarribia M.
Substitutes
6. Arturia G. 12. Ayala T. (G) 16. Delgado U. 33. Diaz G. 5. Garcia M. 11. Gomez J. 32. Gonzalez A. 40. Marquez B. 14. Martinez M. 10. Renteria J. 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A.
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 28. Gomes Gerth F. (G) 46. Grella S. 5. Menossi L. 32. Paz N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.
Coaches
Sava F.
Madelon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Cuello B. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
30', Vargas L. 🟨,
31', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
35', Zabala C. 🟨,
38', Arismendi Y. 🟨,
45+2', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
46', Villalba C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
46', Salle S. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Tarragona C. ⚽, Profini R. (A),
56', 1 - 3, Marabel J. ⚽, Contrera J. (A),
63', Profini R. ↓, Giaccone E. ↑,
63', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
70', Contrera J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
70', Cuello B. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
70', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
78', Tarragona C. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
83', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
87', Zabala C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
90', Renteria J. 🟨,
90+5', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Unión might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
Magnin P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Fascendini V.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sarmiento: Suarez L.
(Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
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Burrai J. (G) 
Cabrera J. M. 
Orihuela R. 
Marabel J. 
Renteria J. 
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