Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Riestra		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.7	Watch
	2.4	2.68	3.65	Watch
	2.42	2.75	3.96
	2.34	2.73	3.86	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.5
	2.35	2.67	3.74	Watch
	2.33	2.71	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.98)	2.71 ↓ (2.88)	3.74 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
40.2%

Draw
34.7%

Newells Old Boys
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

32.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Riestra's form might have worsened.

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	8.3%	54.2%

Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Newells Old Boys (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Newells Old Boys (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Deportivo Riestra (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Deportivo Riestra (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 6 - 50%). Newells Old Boys (votes: 6 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 24. Mino F. 22. Paz C. 13. Gallo R. 5. Ramirez P. 27. Goitia J. 14. Monje P. 7. Alonso A. 8. Benegas N. 9. Herrera J.	21. Arias G. (G) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 22. Salomon O. 6. Mosquera J. 29. Esponda M. 26. Herrera R. 20. Guch F. 9. Hoyos M. 13. Coccaro M. 27. Herrera L.
Substitutes
6. Barbieri M. 36. Bracamonte M. 29. Dramisino A. 32. Flores G. 20. Garcia M. 21. Ingratti J. 12. Lopez I. (G) 40. Obredor G. 19. Randazzo J. 28. Sayavedra R. 16. Watson N.	1. Barlasina W. (G) 25. Cabrera B. 23. Goitea N. 19. Gomez J. 3. Luciano M. 33. Nunez W. 7. Orozco F. 99. Ramirez I. 5. Regiardo L. 24. Risso G. 28. Russo J. 8. Sotelo D.
Coaches
Benitez G.	Gomez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Salcedo S. 🟨,
30', Coccaro M. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
33', Salomon O. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Benegas N. ⚽,
43', Gallo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guch F. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
46', Salomon O. ↓, Goitea N. ↑,
64', Mino F. 🟨,
74', Herrera L. ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
76', Goitia J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
76', Herrera J. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
77', Gallo R. ↓, Randazzo J. ↑,
81', Esponda M. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
87', Garcia M. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Ramirez I. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Arias G. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

Deportivo Riestra is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newells Old Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportivo Riestra could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Diaz A. (Inactive) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Montero A. (Knee Injury) Reinatti J. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.02.26	Barracas Central - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Deportivo Riestra - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLL
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.09.24	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	3:3
Copa Argentina
16.05.24	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	0:1

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