Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Newells Old Boys 2		Atlético de Rafaela 2

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.05	6.1	Watch
	1.44	4.17	6.98
	1.55	3.69	5.92	Watch
	1.4	3.7	6.5
	1.4	4	7.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	3.92 ↑ (3.84)	6.55 ↑ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
63%

Draw
23.2%

Atlético de Rafaela 2
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

22.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Atlético de Rafaela 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético de Rafaela 2 aligns with the current prediction.

Newells Old Boys 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Benedetto B. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Calderone F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 3 - 0, Amadio J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 16).

Newells Old Boys 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atl de Rafaela 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Newells Old Boys 2 is the clear favorite.

We predict that Newells Old Boys 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.05.26	Platense 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Quilmes 2	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Central Córdoba 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWWT
- Atlético de Rafaela 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:4 ✺
12.05.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Ferro 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

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