Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play, TNT Sports


	Ferro 2		Boca Juniors 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.1	4.05	1.39
	7.92	4.19	1.41
	7.55	4.22	1.39	Watch
	7	3.8	1.4
	6.03	4.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↓ (8.3)	4.11 ↓ (4.4)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro 2
12.9%

Draw
22.3%

Boca Juniors 2
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

20.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

20.3%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Boca Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ferro 2 - Boca Juniors 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ferro 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boca Juniors 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferro 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boca Juniors 2 is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	Independiente 2 - Ferro 2	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Ferro 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Platense 2 - Ferro 2	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Ferro 2 - Quilmes 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLTL
- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.26	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Independiente 2	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Platense 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTW

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