Match Info
Stars League - Round 33Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday
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Newroz |
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Al-Shorta Baghdad |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.95 |
3.25 |
1.8 |
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3.75 |
3.31 |
1.79 |
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3.94 |
3.43 |
1.83 |
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3.8 |
3.25 |
1.8 |
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4.18 |
3.34 |
1.78 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.92 ↓
(4.2) |
3.32 ↓
(3.56) |
1.8 ↑
(1.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newroz
22.9% | Draw
27.1% | Al-Shorta Baghdad
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newroz than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Newroz - Al Shorta Baghdad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+5', 0 - 1, Sadoun M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 2, Yahya A. ⚽,
- 90+1', 0 - 3, Sambou B. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Al-Shorta is a strong favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newroz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.7:2).Including home matches between the teams, Newroz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Al-Shorta Baghdad - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 52.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Iraqi Premier League | | | 25.09.25 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz | 3:2 | | 03.05.25 | Newroz - Al-Shorta Baghdad | 0:1 | | 24.01.25 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz | 2:2 | | 04.05.24 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz | 4:4 | | 29.02.24 | Newroz - Al-Shorta Baghdad | 1:1 | | 04.06.23 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz | 1:0 | | 21.05.22 | Al-Shorta Baghdad - Newroz | 2:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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