Match Info

NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)


	Newry City		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.2
	2.6	3.35	2.5
	2.65	3.39	2.55	Watch
	2.62	3.6	2.2
	2.54	3.26	2.44
	2.6	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.68)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	2.4 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
35.2%

Draw
26.7%

Ballinamallard United
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballinamallard United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newry City - Ballinamallard United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, McNickle R. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Carroll A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Healy B. ⚽,

Preview

Newry City is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Ballinamallard is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Newry City have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Newry City won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.6:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
22.03.25	Limavady United - Newry City	3:1 ✺
14.03.25	Newry City - Dundela	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newry City	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Institute FC - Newry City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTTLT
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
22.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Armagh City	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Annagh United - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
08.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:1
26.12.24	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	2:1
27.08.24	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	1:0
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	3:2
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	1:0
Northern Irish Championship
23.04.22	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:0
22.01.22	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	0:2

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