Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Limavady United		Newry City

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.8	5.75
	1.44	4.5	6.2
	1.45	4.5	6.49	Watch
	1.37	4.5	6.74
	1.44	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)	4.56 ↑ (4.33)	6.28 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limavady United
65.2%

Draw
20.2%

Newry City
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limavady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Newry City aligns with the current prediction.

Limavady United - Newry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Walker M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Walker M. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, McNickle R. (Pen),
63', 3 - 1, Walker M. ⚽,

Preview

Limavady is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )

Newry City is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Recent matches Limavady is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newry City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Limavady is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Limavady won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Limavady won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limavady United
Northern Irish Championship
14.03.25	Ballyclare Comrades - Limavady United	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Limavady United - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Newington - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Annagh United - Limavady United	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Limavady United - Ards	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWTL
- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
14.03.25	Newry City - Dundela	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newry City	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Institute FC - Newry City	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Newry City - Newington	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
07.12.24	Limavady United - Newry City	3:0
17.08.24	Newry City - Limavady United	3:3
24.11.17	Newry City - Limavady United	2:2

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