Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 31

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Ballinamallard United		Newry City

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.4
	1.84	4.2	3.35
	1.8	4.23	3.17
	1.86	4.3	3.41
	1.75	3.84	3.76
	1.84	4.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.54)	4.1 (4.1)	3.41 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
50.7%

Draw
22.4%

Newry City
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballinamallard United's form might have worsened.

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newry City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballinamallard United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ballinamallard United - Newry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Ducks ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79+1', 1 - 1, O'Brien A. ⚽,

Preview

Newry City is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ballinamallard won 2.

Recent matches Ballinamallard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newry City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ballinamallard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ballinamallard is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ballinamallard won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ballinamallard won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
01.03.25	Institute FC - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Ballyclare Comrades	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Newington	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Bangor - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Newry City
Northern Irish Championship
22.02.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newry City	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Institute FC - Newry City	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Newry City - Newington	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Annagh United - Newry City	4:0 ✺
17.01.25	Newry City - Bangor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.12.24	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	2:1
27.08.24	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	1:0
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	3:2
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	1:0
Northern Irish Championship
23.04.22	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	1:0
22.01.22	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	0:2
13.11.21	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	2:0

Upcoming Matches