Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL PREMIERSHIP - ROUND 33

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)

Referee: Andrews S. (Nir)


	Newry City		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	9.25	5.75	1.25
	12	5.5	1.22
	9.55	6.03	1.26
	9.55	6.03	1.26
	11	6	1.18
	11	6.27	1.25
	9.6	5.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.28 ↑ (8.02)	5.88 ↑ (5.52)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
9.1%

Draw
15.8%

Crusaders
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

17%

71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

16.3%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newry City - Crusaders Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mitchell C. (G) 8. Carroll A. 24. Forde L. 3. Healy N. 2. King D. 11. McGovern J. 5. McKeown B. 27. O'Brien A. 7. O'Connor C. 38. Poynton G. 33. Scullion D.	33. Tuffey J. (G) 28. Boyd J. 2. Burns B. 25. Clarke R. 14. Forsythe J. 8. Kennedy B. 20. Larmour D. 7. Lowry P. 27. Nixon S. 15. O'Rourke J. 6. Weir R.
Substitutes
1. Maguire S. (G) 42. McDonagh J. 18. Moan S. 36. Mooney J.	43. Barr L. 26. Donnelly R. 3. Joshua K. 41. Kerr R. (G) 30. Maguire B. 16. McAleenan A. 18. Owens J.
Coaches
Gray B.	Baxter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟨,
25', O'Connor C. (Pen),
27', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 🟨,
75', 0 - 1, Kennedy B. ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Newry City is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

Crusaders is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 0.

Newry City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crusaders is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Newry City have a series of guest games.

In this match Crusaders is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Newry City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 3-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Premiership
16.03.24	Linfield - Newry City	6:0 ✺
09.03.24	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Newry City - Coleraine	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Glentoran - Newry City	8:2 ✺
13.02.24	Loughgall - Newry City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLLT
- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
16.03.24	Crusaders - Coleraine	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Ballymena United - Crusaders	2:4 ✺
24.02.24	Crusaders - Glenavon	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Loughgall - Crusaders	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
02.12.23	Crusaders - Newry City	1:1
26.08.23	Newry City - Crusaders	0:4
14.01.23	Crusaders - Newry City	3:1
19.11.22	Crusaders - Newry City	4:0
27.08.22	Newry City - Crusaders	1:2
11.01.19	Newry City - Crusaders	0:1
02.11.18	Newry City - Crusaders	0:3

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