Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)

Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Dungannon Swifts		Crusaders

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.4
	1.93	3.59	3.46	Watch
	1.94	3.56	3.66
	1.99	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	3.48 ↓ (3.54)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
47%

Draw
26.5%

Crusaders
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-1%)

Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dunne D. (G) 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 10. Dillon K. 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 8. Knowles J. 5. Marron C. 22. McAleese B. 67. McAllister S. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 2. Scott S.	33. Tuffey J. (G) 42. Anderson L. 43. Barr L. 9. Brooks A. 19. Bryden F. 11. Dunlop E. 12. Easton E. 2. Forsythe K. 3. Hamilton B. 20. Mccart O. 15. O'Rourke J.
Substitutes
13. Alves L. 12. Henderson A. (G) 4. Maguire P. 19. Maguire T. 17. McGinty C. 26. Mitchell A. 20. Smith M.	. Beattie C. 64. Beattie M. 1. Dibaga M. (G) 26. Donnelly R. 87. Harrison B. 92. Karrabecaj A. . Quinn C.
Coaches
McAree R.	Caddell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Kelly T. ↓, Maguire T. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Barr L. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ⚽,
76', Hamilton B. ↓, Donnelly R. ↑,
83', McAllister S. ↓, Alves L. ↑,
83', Knowles J. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Mitchell A. ⚽,
90', Dillon K. ↓, Smith M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 2.

Dungannon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Crusaders's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dungannon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:49. (average 1.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
25.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Coleraine - Dungannon Swifts	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
08.10.25	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	1:2 penalties ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWW
- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
25.10.25	Crusaders - Glentoran	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Bangor - Crusaders	2:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Crusaders - Ballymacash Rangers	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.09.25	Glenavon - Crusaders	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Crusaders - Ballymena United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
13.09.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	0:3
26.04.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	1:0
11.01.25	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	1:5
Northern Irish League Cup
03.12.24	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	4:2 ET
Northern Irish Premiership
30.11.24	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	2:2
17.09.24	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	1:0
10.02.24	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	2:2

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