The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Loughgall 20.1%
Draw 23%
Crusaders 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
25%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
22.9%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crusaders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loughgall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crusaders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Loughgall - Crusaders Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gartside N. (G) 19. Francis L. 10. Hoey A. 6. Kelly T. 14. Kerr C. 11. McAleer C. 29. McCloskey C. 4. Murdock B. 3. Rea J. 27. Towe A. 8. Waide R.
33. Tuffey J. (G) 43. Barr L. 12. Blaney J. 4. Callacher J. 25. Clarke R. 14. Forsythe J. 29. Franklin H. 17. Offord K. 15. O'Rourke J. 6. Weir R. 16. Williamson J.
Substitutes
18. Balde A. 9. Ferris N. 13. Gibson J. 26. Harvey B. 12. Norton R. 1. Turker B. (G)
62. James J. 41. Kerr R. (G) 27. Nixon S. 18. Owens J. 21. Smith M. 11. Teelan J. 23. Vance B.
Coaches
Smith D.
Caddell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Kerr C. 🟨,
32', McCloskey C. 🟨,
32', O'Rourke J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
53', Offord K. 🟨,
69', McAleer C. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
69', Kerr C. ↓, Ferris N. ↑,
69', McCloskey C. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, O'Rourke J. ⚽,
80', Offord K. ↓, Owens J. ↑,
81', Williamson J. ↓, Nixon S. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Clarke R. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, Forsythe J. (Pen),
90+1', 0 - 4, Nixon S. ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
Loughgall has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Crusaders is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Loughgall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Loughgall have a series of guest games.
Recently Crusaders have a series of home games.
In this match Crusaders is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Loughgall won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
World
Watch
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Gartside N. (G) 
Blaney J. 
Franklin H. 
Balde A. 
Turker B. (G) 
Vance B. 
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