Match Info

Cymru North - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Newtown		Bangor 1876

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.15	4.90
	1.52	4.46	4.73
	1.51	4.67	5.1	Watch
	1.50	4.40	4.65
	1.49	4.20	5.01
	1.50	4.30	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.36 ↑ (4.33)	4.9 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newtown
60.6%

Draw
20.8%

Bangor 1876
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

20.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bangor 1876 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bangor 1876 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Newtown - Bangor 1876 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Smith J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd and 7th).

Newtown is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Bangor 1876 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bangor 1876 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Newtown is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Newtown in today's match, at odds of 1.5.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newtown	11	7	3	1	20:5	15	24
7	Bangor 1876	11	5	2	4	23:18	5	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.26	Mold Alexandra - Newtown	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Newtown - Porthmadog	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Newtown	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Newtown - Denbigh Town	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newtown - Llanuwchllyn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- Bangor 1876
Welsh Cymru North
03.10.26	Porthmadog - Bangor 1876	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Bangor 1876 - Buckley Town	2:6 ✺
12.09.26	Penrhyncoch - Bangor 1876	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Bangor 1876 - Rhyl	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Bangor 1876 - Brickfield Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.26	Newtown - Buckley Town	✺
- Bangor 1876
Welsh Cymru North
31.10.26	Caersws - Bangor 1876	✺

Newtown - Bangor 1876