The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porthmadog 43.1%
Draw 22.8%
Bangor 1876 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
25%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
24.9%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porthmadog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Bangor 1876 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porthmadog than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangor 1876 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Porthmadog - Bangor 1876 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Summers-Jones D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 5th and 7th).
Porthmadog has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bangor 1876 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Porthmadog may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Porthmadog has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:8 (averaging 0.5:4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Porthmadog against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:4 goals.