Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 1

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Complexe sportif de Fès (Fès)

Referee: Beida D. (Mrt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Band Play, BandSports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cameroon	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3, ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Claro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
Morocco	Arryadia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Nigeria	NTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV4, Sport TV6
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Nigeria		Tanzania

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	9	Watch
	1.44	4.1	7.25
	1.46	4.05	8.2	Watch
	1.46	4.09	8.83
	1.43	4.17	9.13	Watch
	1.44	3.8	8.5
	1.47	4.12	8.85	Watch
	1.41	4	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)	4.04 ↑ (3.89)	8.66 ↓ (8.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nigeria
65.6%

Draw
23.4%

Tanzania
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

24.3%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	9.4%	6.2%

Nigeria - Tanzania Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Tanzania (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Nigeria (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nigeria will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nigeria will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Tanzania (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 2. Osayi-Samuel B. Birmingham 6. Ajayi S. Hull City 21. Bassey C. Fulham 3. Zaidu FC Porto 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 4. Ndidi W. (C) Besiktas 11. Chukwueze S. Fulham 7. Lookman A. Atalanta 9. Osimhen V. Galatasaray 22. Adams A. Sevilla	28. Foba Z. (G) Azam 22. Kapombe S. Simba 14. Mwamnyeto B. Young Africans 4. Hamad I. Young Africans 15. Hussein M. Young Africans 20. Miroshi N. Goztepe 27. Msanga A. Shamakhi 8. M'Mombwa C. Floriana 12. Msuva S. Al Talaba 10. Samatta A. (C) Le Havre 26. Allarakhia T. Rochdale
Substitutes
26. Akinsanmiro E. Pisa 27. Alebiosu R. Blackburn 20. Awaziem C. Nantes 10. Dele-Bashiru F. Lazio 12. Dessers C. Panathinaikos 24. Ejuke C. Sevilla 28. Nnadi T. Waregem 16. Obasogie A. (G) Singida Black Stars 5. Ogbu I. Slavia Prague 19. Onuachu P. Trabzonspor 18. Onyedika R. Club Brugge 8. Onyeka F. Brentford 13. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus 15. Simon M. Paris FC 1. Uzoho F. (G) Omonia	18. Abraham M. Simba 17. Habibu K. Singida Black Stars 5. Job D. Young Africans 21. John K. Aalborg 23. Kagoma Y. Simba 3. Kibabage N. Singida Black Stars 11. Kibu D. Simba 1. Masalanga H. (G) Singida Black Stars 25. Mnoga H. Salford 2. Msindo P. Azam 19. Mwaikenda L. Azam 7. Nado I. Azam 16. Nangu W. Simba 24. Nashon K. Geita Gold
Coaches
Chelle E.	Gamondi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Ajayi S. ⚽, Iwobi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, M'Mombwa C. ⚽, Miroshi N. (A),
52', 2 - 1, Lookman A. ⚽, Iwobi A. (A),
58', Lookman A. 🟨,
59', Adams A. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
59', Chukwueze S. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
62', Msuva S. ↓, John K. ↑,
79', Kapombe S. ↓, Mnoga H. ↑,
79', Allarakhia T. ↓, Job D. ↑,
86', Osimhen V. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
90+1', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Kibu D. ↑,

Preview

Tanzania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nigeria is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nigeria
Friendly
16.12.25	Egypt - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Nigeria - D.R. Congo	1:2 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Nigeria - Gabon	4:1 ET ✺
14.10.25	Nigeria - Benin	4:0 ✺
10.10.25	Lesotho - Nigeria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- Tanzania
Friendly
15.11.25	Kuwait - Tanzania	4:3 ✺
14.10.25	Iran - Tanzania	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
08.10.25	Tanzania - Zambia	0:1 ✺
09.09.25	Tanzania - Niger	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Congo - Tanzania	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLL?

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
03.09.16	Nigeria - Tanzania	1:0
05.09.15	Tanzania - Nigeria	0:0

Nigeria - Tanzania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide